Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.551343e-05 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066
2025-04-20 1.825707e-05 0.000024 0.000032 0.000041 0.000051 0.000063 0.000078
2025-04-27 1.419222e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000054 0.000071 0.000091
2025-05-04 1.142957e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000077 0.000104
2025-05-11 1.009758e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000063 0.000087 0.000120
2025-05-18 8.391321e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000094 0.000132
2025-05-25 6.376877e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000064 0.000095 0.000138
2025-06-01 5.010360e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000039 0.000064 0.000098 0.000146
2025-06-08 4.100073e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000103 0.000155
2025-06-15 3.344088e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000107 0.000164
2025-06-22 2.621907e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000038 0.000067 0.000109 0.000171
2025-06-29 1.968091e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000066 0.000110 0.000176
2025-07-06 1.275981e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000033 0.000064 0.000110 0.000180
2025-07-13 8.641101e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000032 0.000064 0.000113 0.000188
2025-07-20 6.311405e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000066 0.000118 0.000201
2025-07-27 4.653050e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000032 0.000068 0.000125 0.000214
2025-08-03 4.076507e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000073 0.000136 0.000234
2025-08-10 2.960448e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000142 0.000248
2025-08-17 1.625899e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000142 0.000253
2025-08-24 9.111383e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000073 0.000144 0.000261
2025-08-31 5.399299e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000074 0.000149 0.000272
2025-09-07 2.946493e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000153 0.000283
2025-09-14 1.233761e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000075 0.000155 0.000291